2003 Corporation Survey on Land

Method for Estimating the Asset Amount of Land


  The following is an outline of the estimation method used to tabulate asset amount of land in the Basic Survey on Land (Corporations Survey on Land and Household Survey on Land).

I.  Corporations Survey on Land

1.  Introduction

  With respect to land owned by each corporation, the asset amount of land has been estimated by category, such as "building site, etc.," "forest land," "farm land," etc., multiplying respective size by a corresponding land price (unit price per unit area). Such price corresponding to a respective piece of land has been estimated using land price functions estimated separately, with the input of independent variables of attributes corresponding to the respective piece of land.


2.  Estimation of the asset amount for "building site, etc."

2.1  Method of estimation

  The asset amount for "building site, etc." of business assets was estimated by accumulating what was obtained by multiplying each size of a particular corporation's land by the price of the corresponding piece of land estimated with the land price function.


2.2  Estimation of land price

(1) Grouping by present usage of land

  Land price for "building site, etc." was estimated by dividing present usage of land into six groups: A to F (Table 1). For groups A, B, and C, estimation of land price was made based on land price functions estimated for the respective group. For group D, land price was estimated based on the land price of forest land, and for the groups E and F, land price was estimated based on the average price of farm land and others.

Table 1  Land Price Estimation Groups and Land PriceEstimation
Group Example of corresponding "present usage of land" Land price estimation
A Corporate-owned housing, rental housing, other building Estimation of land price function for "residential land" to make estimate
B Office, store, hotel/inn Estimation of land price function for "commercial land" to make estimate
C Factory/warehouse, storage yard Estimation of land price function for "industrial land" to make estimate
D Golf course/ski ground/camping ground Application of land price for forest land
E Reservoir/water channel Application of average land price for farm land and forest land
F Other usage, vacant lot, present usage of land not reported Application of average land price for groups A, B, and C of this table as well as farm land and forest land


(2) Spatial range for setting up the land price functions

  As for the spatial range for setting up land price functions, the prefecture was used as the spatial range for residential land and commercial land. And, for industrial land, land price functions were estimated by regional blocks due to small sample size (numbers of sampling points) in Land Price Publications and the Prefectural Land Price Survey used in selecting forms and independent variables of functions. However, land price functions were established separately for the following.

    [1]  Large metropolitan areas
  Taking into consideration population fluidity and other factors, those prefectures having, according to the Population Census, an inter-prefectural mobility ratio for commute on business and school of their permanent population of more than 5% were established as large metropolitan areas. One land price function was then estimated per one large metropolitan area (Table 2).
Table 2  Established Large Metropolitan Areas
Large metropolitan area Prefectures making up area
Tokyo area Tokyo-to, Ibaraki-ken, Chiba-ken, Saitama-ken, Kanagawa-ken
Nagoya area Aichi-ken, Gifu-ken, Mie-ken
Osaka area Osaka-fu, Shiga-ken, Kyoto-fu, Nara-ken, Wakayama-ken, Hyogo-ken
Fukuoka area Fukuoka-ken, Saga-ken

    [2]  Hokkaido
  Hokkaido, due to its vast space, has been divided into several areas conforming to "regional economic zones (Hokkaido)". A land price function was then estimated for each of these zones (Table 3).
Table 3  Regional Economic Zones and their Corresponding Subprefecture
Regional economic zone Subprefecture
Donan zone Oshima subprefecture, Hiyama subprefecture
Do-ou zone Ishikari subprefecture, Shiribeshi subprefecture, Sorachi subprefecture, Iburi subprefecture, Hidaka subprefecture
Dohoku zone Kamikawa subprefecture, Rumoi subprefecture,Soya subprefecture
Okhotsk zone Abashiri subprefecture
Tokachi zone Tokachi subprefecture
Kushiro/Nemuro zone Kushiro subprefecture, Nemuro subprefecture

    [3]  Okinawa Prefecture
  For Okinawa Prefecture, which is an island prefecture, industrial land was grouped with residential land based on dummy variables (industrial land dummies) due to the small sample size. Then land price functions were estimated.

(3) Estimating the land price functions

  Using land price data taken from 2003 Land Price Publication (as of January 1) and 2003 Prefectural Land Price Survey (as of July 1), land price functions were estimated that use land price as a dependent variable and traffic conditions, lot size, etc., as independent variables. Land price functions were estimated for residential land, commercial land, and industrial land, respectively. In addition, representative land/standard land categories were divided into three based on the present use of land, each of which serves as data for selecting form and independent variable of the respective land price function (Table 4).

Table 4  Grouping of Representative Land/StandardLand for Estimating Land Price Functions
Land price function Grouping by present usage
Residential land Housing
Commercial land Stores, offices, banks, inns, medical offices, workshops
Industrial land Factories, warehouses


  Using the variables pertaining to lot conditions, traffic conditions, city planning conditions, living conditions, etc. that are shown in Table 5, significant independent variables of the land price functions were adopted based on multiple regression analysis. In addition, dummy variables are incorporated for explaining the difference of the point in time of representative land/standard land.

  The value of each independent variable was based on the Land Price Publication and Prefectural Land Price Survey. However, those items not noted in the Land Price Publication and Prefectural Land Price Survey (density of employees in area around the land, etc.) used indices set up by the following procedure.

  The accessibility indices were established for municipalities land in question is located as indicators expressing the regional convenience of a particular location. Using all municipalities in Japan as destinations (excluding, however, municipalities with populations of 100,000 or less except for those in the same prefecture or adjacent prefecture , which have little impact on the indices, in order to increase calculation efficiency), the indices were established as follows using population, number of non-agriculture or forestry employees, number of retail employees, and area of type 1 large-scale retail stores as degree of accumulation in destinations.

  Σ(degree of accumulation of the destination) ÷(time distance) α , where α is a multiplier.

  Used data was in the Population Census, Establishment and Enterprises Census, and other materials. The National Integrated Transport Analysis System (NITAS)-which was developed by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport-was used to obtain data on time distance between municipalities.

Table 5  Independent Variables for Estimating Land Price Functions (Building Site, etc.)
Category Independent variable
Lot conditions - Front road width
- Irregularly shaped*
- Lot size
Traffic conditions - Distance from nearest railway station
- Distance from nearest highway interchange
City planning conditions - Zoning*
- Floor area ratio
Living conditions - Existence of sewer*
- Existence of city gas*
Accumulation conditions in region - Density of employees in area around the land
Other - By Land Price Publication or by Prefectural Land Price Survey*
- Prefecture or zone in Hokkaido*
Accessibility index - Population accessibility index
- Employee accessibility index
- Retail business accessibility index
- Large store accessibility index
   *Variable incorporated as a dummy variable

  Selecting independent variables of land price functions was accomplished by selecting appropriate variables with attention paid to their significance and sign condition, which as a rule included taking variables with a t value of 2 or more, etc., from all candidate variables through multiple regression analysis, taking multicollinearity into consideration. As for functional forms, linear and logarithmic linear forms were postulated, with one or the other being adopted after consideration of coefficient of determination, distribution of error, etc. It should be mentioned that the coefficients of determination for the estimated functions (adjusted for degree of freedom R2) were 0.63 to 0.91.

(Linear form) Figure

(Logarithmic linear form) Figure

Figure : Land price (unit price per unit area) of land j owned by a corporation
Figure : Coefficient of attribute i
Figure : Value of attribute i of land j owned by a corporation


(4) Estimation of land price

  Estimation of the land price was conducted with the estimated functions, inputting the land size of the lot in question as the variable of land size, and inputting the average attributes of the sections of the village or town in which said lot belongs as other variables (for example, the weighted average of width of all roads in the village or town by length of the road section calculated by the GIS in the case of front road width).


3.  Estimation of asset amount of "forest land"

3.1  Method of estimation

  In the same manner as for "building site, etc.," the asset amount for "forest land" of business assets was estimated multiplying the size, by municipality, of each corporation's forest land by the land price estimated with land price functions.


3.2  Estimation of land price

(1) Spatial range for setting up the land price function

  Regional blocks were chosen as the unit of spatial range when setting up the land price functions for this category.

(2) Estimating the land price function

  The land price functions of forest land were established using land price data pertaining to forest land of the Land Price Publications and the Prefectural Land Price Survey as data for selecting forms and independent variables of functions.

  Estimating of the land price functions was conducted following the same procedures as those for "building site, etc." However, because data pertaining to forest land owned by corporations that is available through the Corporations Survey on Land represent total size by municipality of land owned by individual corporations, information on locations smaller than the municipal level cannot be obtained. Thus, the items listed in Table 6 were used in selecting independent variables, recognizing limitations in selecting independent variables as compared to "building site, etc". It should be mentioned that the coefficients of determination for the estimated functions (adjusted for degree of freedom R2) were 0.50 to 0.84.

(3) Estimation of the land price

  Similar to the case of "building site, etc.," Estimation of land price was conducted with the established functions inputting attributes of the sections of the village and town to which the land in question belongs.

Table 6  Independent Variables when Estimating Land Price Functions (Mountain-forest)
Category Independent variable
Traffic conditions - Distance from nearest railway station
City planning conditions - Zoning*
Other - By Land Price Publication or by Prefectural Land Price Survey*
- Prefecture*
- By mixed forest or by timber forest*
Accessibility index - Population accessibility index
- Employee accessibility index
- Retail business accessibility index
- Large store accessibility index
         *Variable incorporated as a dummy variable


4.  Estimation of asset amount for "farm land"

  The asset amount for "farm land" of business assets was estimated multiplying each size, by municipality, of each corporation by the average land price of farm land of the relevant prefecture to which the municipality belongs.

  The average land price of farm land of prefectures was estimated using sales prices of plowland prepared by the National Chamber of Agriculture. More precisely, since the sales prices of plowland are available by prefecture and by administrative system/plowland of the Agricultural Promotion Law and the City Planning Law, the average land price of farmland of prefectures was estimated from the dimensional weighted average using the by-prefecture and by-plowland/pasture area ratios of land owned by corporations of the Survey on Prices of Fixed Assets, etc., and the by-prefecture and by-system area ratios of the Census of Agriculture and Forestry. By-prefecture land prices of pasture were obtained from the Survey on Prices of Fixed Assets, etc.


5.  Estimation of asset amount of stock land

  The asset amount for "building site and others," forest land," and "farm land" of stock land were estimated by multiplying the total size, by municipality, of land owned by each corporation by the corresponding land price.

  The land price is the dimensional weighted average of land price by municipality for building
site, etc., the land price by municipality for forest land, and the land price by prefecture for farm land.


6.  Estimation of asset amount for other land

  The asset amount for other land (such as "land used for railway, land used for stations, or land used for railroad forest" and "land used for power transmission lines, substations, power stations, gas supply facilities, communication facilities, broadcasting facilities, and land used for road") was estimated by multiplying total size, by prefecture and by type of site use of each corporation, by the corresponding land price.

  With regard to the land price corresponding to each type of land, the dimensional weighted average of land price for residential land, commercial land, industrial land, farm land, and forest land belonging to each prefecture was adopted for each land purpose shown in Table 7.

Table 7  Site Use and Corresponding Land Price
Land purpose Corresponding land price
Land used for power transmission lines Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land, farm land and building site, etc.
Land used for substations Dimensional weighted average of land price of building site, etc.
Land used for power stations Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land
Land used for gas supply facilities Dimensional weighted average of land price of industrial land
Land used for communication facilities Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land, farm land and building site, etc.
Land used for broadcasting facilities Dimensional weighted average of land price of building site, etc.
Land used for stations Dimensional weighted average of land price of building site, etc.
Land used for railway Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land, farm land and building site, etc.
Land used for railway forest Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land
Land for road (not in use yet) Dimensional weighted average of land price of forest land, farm land and building site, etc.
Land for road (already in use) Dimensional weighted average of land price of building site, etc.


II.  Household Survey on Land

1.  Introduction

  Similar to the Corporations Survey on Land, the asset amount of land owned by each household is estimated by multiplying the land area for each type of land ("present site of dwelling," "building site, etc. other than the present site of dwelling," "farm land," "mountain-forest," etc.) by its corresponding land price. It should be noted that, as a rule, the land price corresponding to each type of land was established based on the Corporations Survey on Land.


2.  Estimation of the asset amount for "present site of dwelling"

2.1  Method of estimation

  The asset amount for "present site of dwelling" was estimated by accumulating what was obtained by multiplying the size of each lot of land owned by a particular household by the corresponding land price estimated with the land price function.

2.2  Estimation of land price

(1) Land price function used

  The land price function for "residential land" for each prefecture that was estimated in section I was used when estimating land price.

(2) Estimation of land price (data inputted into the land price function)

  Estimation of land price was conducted with the estimated functions, inputting the size of the land in question as the variable of land size (however, in the case of multi-unit housing, the size of the multi-unit housing as a whole was used, not the size of sectional ownership), and inputting the average attributes of the sections of the village or town in which said land belongs as other variables.


3.  Estimation of asset amount for land other than "present site of dwelling"

3.1  Method of Estimation

  The asset amount for land other than "present site of dwelling" ("building site, etc. other than the present site of dwelling," "mountain-forest", and "farm land") was estimated by multiplying the total size of land owned by a particular household, by municipality, by corresponding land price.

3.2  Estimation of land price

(1) Land price of ""building site, etc. other than the present site of dwelling"

  The land price of "building site, etc. other than the present site of dwelling" was estimated after grouping it according to present usage of land into five groups: A to E.

  With regard to corresponding land price, the dimen-sional weighted average of land price for building site, etc. belonging to each municipality, and the land price of mountain-forest owned by households obtained from the land price function for forest land belonging to each mu-nicipality of the Corporation Survey on Land were used.

(2) Land price of "mountain-forest"

  Estimation of the land price of "mountain-forest" was conducted by inputting the attributes of the municipality in which the "mountain-forest" land belongs into the land price function for "mountain-forest" in the Corporation Survey on Land.

(3) Land price of "farm land"

  The land price of "farm land" was corresponded to the average land price of farm land in the prefecture of the municipality in which the land is located.

  The average land price of farm land in prefectures was obtained using the same procedure that was used in the Corporation Survey on Land.

Table 8  Land Price Estimation Groups and Land Price Estimation
Group Corresponding "present usage of land" Land price estimation
A Detached house used exclusively for living, detached house used partly as a shop, etc., multi-unit housing/row house, parking lot Dimensional weighted average of land price for "building site, etc." belonging to each municipality corresponding to present usage of land "corporate-owned housing", "rental housing", or "other building" of the Corporation Survey on Land
B Office, shop, parking garage Dimensional weighted average of land price for "building site, etc." belonging to each municipality corresponding to present usage of land "office," "store," or "hotel/inn" of the Corporation Survey on Land
C Factory/warehouse, storage yard Dimensional weighted average of land price for "building site, etc." belonging to each municipality corresponding to present usage of land "factory/warehouse" or "storage yard" of the Corporation Survey on Land
D Place for sports or recreation Application of average land price for mountain-forest
E Other building, used for purposes other than building site, not in use, not reported Application of average land price for groups A, B, and C of this table as well as farm land and mountain-forest


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